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課程名稱 |
農產價格
Agricultural Prices |
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開課學期 |
109-1 |
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授課對象 |
生物資源暨農學院 農業經濟學系 |
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授課教師 |
劉 鋼 |
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課號 |
AGEC3006 |
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課程識別碼 |
607 32700 |
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班次 |
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學分 |
3.0 |
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全/半年 |
半年 |
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必/選修 |
必帶 |
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上課時間 |
星期五7,8,9(14:20~17:20) |
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上課地點 |
農經二 |
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備註 |
總人數上限：50人
外系人數限制：10人 |
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課程簡介影片 |
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核心能力關聯 |
核心能力與課程規劃關聯圖 |
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課程大綱
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課程概述 |
The course is based on economics and statistics concepts and applies this knowledge on real data in order to do hands-on analysis of current prices, analyze price fluctuations, and estimate future prices. Students will perform their own analyses throughout the semester in the form of project assignments and a price forecasting competition using primarily R software. |
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課程目標 |
The objectives of this course are three fords: First, to provide students with an understanding of the complex array of forces that influence the level and behavior of agricultural product prices. Second, to assist students in bridging the gap between theory and empirical analyses of price behavior. Third, to allow students to analyze historical price data and forecast prices based on price information. |
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課程要求 |
Students are expected to thoroughly understand price formation theoretically and are able to participate discussion in classes, to properly build up their own forecasting models for agricultural commodity prices. |
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預期每週課後學習時數 |
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Office Hours |
每週四 13:10~14:00 |
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指定閱讀 |
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參考書目 |
Helmberger, P.G. and J.-P. Chavas (1996), The economics of agricultural prices, Upper Saddle River, N.J., Prentice Hall. ISBN: 0133726401.
Tomek, W.G. and H.M. Kaiser (2014), Agricultural Product Prices, Fifth edition. Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press. ISBN 978-0-8014-5230-7. ProQuest Ebook Central (eBook).
Levendis, John D. (2018), Time Series Econometrics Learning Through Replication, Springer Texts om Business and Economics, ISBN: 978-3-319-98282-3 (eBook).
Becketti, S. (2013), Introduction to Time Series Using STATA, A Stata Press Publication, StataCorp LP, College Station, Texas, ISBN-10: 1-59718-132-3. |
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評量方式
(僅供參考) |
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No. |
項目 |
百分比 |
說明 |
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1. |
Class Participation |
10% |
assignments in class; quality of discussion |
2. |
Theoretical Price Analyses |
40% |
written exam |
3. |
Empirical Price Analyses in STATA |
50% |
quality of discussion; oral presentation; precision of the forecasting model |
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週次 |
日期 |
單元主題 |
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第1週 |
09/18 |
Syllabus
H&C: Chapter 1- Introduction (HC-CH1) |
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第2週 |
09/25 |
H&C: Chapter 1- Introduction (HC-CH1)
H&C: Chapter 2- Production under uncertainty (HC-CH2) |
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第3週 |
09/26 |
H&C: Chapter 2- Production under uncertainty (HC-CH2) |
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第4週 |
10/09 |
Holiday! No class! |
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第5週 |
10/16 |
Exam 1 (H&C: Chapters 1,2) |
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第6週 |
10/23 |
H&C: Chapter 5-Farm-level Demand (HC-CH5) |
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第7週 |
10/30 |
H&C: Chapter 5-Farm-level Demand (HC-CH5)
H&C: Chapter 6-The Theory of Commodity Storage and Pricing (HC-CH6) |
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第8週 |
11/06 |
H&C: Chapter 6-The Theory of Commodity Storage and Pricing (HC-CH6) |
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第9週 |
11/13 |
Time series analyses: STATA
Becketti: Chapter
Levendis: Chapter |
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第10週 |
11/20 |
Exam 2 (H&C: Chapters 5,6) |
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第11週 |
11/27 |
Time series analyses: STATA
Becketti: Chapter
Levendis: Chapter |
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第12週 |
12/04 |
Time series analyses: STATA
Becketti: Chapter
Levendis: Chapter |
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第13週 |
12/11 |
Time series analyses: STATA
Becketti: Chapter
Levendis: Chapter |
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第14週 |
12/18 |
Time series analyses: STATA
Becketti: Chapter
Levendis: Chapter |
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第15週 |
12/25 |
Time series analyses: STATA
Becketti: Chapter
Levendis: Chapter |
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第16週 |
01/01 |
New Year's Day! No class! |
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第17週 |
01/08 |
Oral Presentation |
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第18週 |
01/15 |
Supplementary class |
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